Skip to content
archive

2026-06-03-KawzInvests-brun-arr-expansion

Stocks · · 1 min read · x.com ↗

BRUN — 1,233% ARR Expansion Guided, $400M+ by FY26 EOY

Deep dive thread on $BRUN (Brains, ~$2.2B market cap) — an AI infrastructure/data center play.

Key numbers:

  • Guiding 1,233% ARR expansion to $400M+ by FY26 year-end
  • Anchored by $1.4B TCV target (was $940M at May 11 listing, now $1.45B as of June 1)
  • $30M ARR in FY24 → $120M in FY25 (4x YoY)
  • FCF positive — unlike $CRWV, $NBIS, $APLD who all burn cash at multiples of BRUN's scale

Supply side:

  • $NVDA Exemplar Cloud partner (1 of 8 globally)
  • $DELL $1.44B purchase agreement
  • Lenovo, CDW

Key customers/contracts:

  • Fluidstack — $127M / 2yr
  • Thinking Machines Lab — $471.7M / 36mo / 5,000 B300 GPUs (this alone = 21% of entire TCV target)

Relevance

Directly relevant to my stock portfolio. BRUN is in the AI infra space alongside my positions. The FCF positive angle vs peers burning cash is a strong signal. The TCV expansion from $940M → $1.45B in ~3 weeks suggests accelerating demand.

Notes

  • Low engagement on the tweet (981 views) — early days for this content
  • KawzInvests is a known small-cap/deep-dive account
  • The Think Machines Lab contract (21% of TCV) is a concentrated customer risk but also validates the thesis